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Game Ops Console · NFL

Live Board · Week 3

Every PrizePicks NFL line this week, checked against what the sportsbooks imply. A line is beatable when one side's fair chance is above 54.2%, the lowest breakeven on PrizePicks' payout table, so a skilled player can make money on it.

Real dataAs of Wed, Sep 23, 11:00 AM ETHow this is computed →

239lines in 16 games154with a sportsbook price (64%)6beatable now16stale since the last snapshot (60 PrizePicks lines moved)

Beatable now · 6 lines

  • MarShawn LloydRec YdsATL @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETBeatable
    PrizePicks6.5was 5.5
    Books5.5
    Underdog5.5
    Fair side:Less 57.8%
    vs breakeven+3.6 pts
  • Skyy MooreRec YdsATL @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETBeatable
    PrizePicks9.5was 7.5
    Books10.5
    Underdog10.5
    Fair side:More 55.4%
    vs breakeven+1.2 pts
  • Michael Penix Jr.Rush YdsATL @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETBeatable
    PrizePicks3.5
    Books4.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 54.7%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • Adonai MitchellReceptionsNYJ @ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ETBeatable
    PrizePicks3.5
    Books3.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 54.6%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • Jordan LoveRush YdsATL @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETBeatable
    PrizePicks7.5was 8.5
    Books8.5
    Underdog8.5
    Fair side:More 54.6%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • TreVeyon HendersonRec YdsNE @ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ETBeatableStale: the books moved and PrizePicks did not
    PrizePicks8.5
    Books9.5
    Underdog9.5
    Fair side:More 54.5%
    vs breakeven+0.3 pts

Key

Beatable line:
one side's fair chance is above 54.2%. Highlighted on the board.
Fair chance:
the chance a side wins, from sportsbook odds with their built-in margin removed and adjusted to the PrizePicks line.
Breakeven:
the win rate per pick a player needs to break even. The lowest is the 6-pick Flex Play at 54.2%.
Underdog:
the same player and stat on Underdog, another pick'em app. A different line there is a gap a player with both apps can use.
Stale:
the books moved between two daily snapshots and the PrizePicks line did not.
pts:
percentage points above or below the breakeven.

Which stats have a sportsbook price

Receptions has the fewest prices (48%). PrizePicks posts most lines before sportsbooks post player props, so early in the week those lines have nothing to check them against.

The board, by kickoff

154 lines shown

Thursday night 8:15 PM ET

ATL @ GB

Thu 8:15 PM ET · 30 lines · 30 with a sportsbook price · 4 beatable

  • MarShawn LloydRec YdsBeatable
    PrizePicks6.5was 5.5
    Books5.5
    Underdog5.5
    Fair side:Less 57.8%
    vs breakeven+3.6 pts
  • Skyy MooreRec YdsBeatable
    PrizePicks9.5was 7.5
    Books10.5
    Underdog10.5
    Fair side:More 55.4%
    vs breakeven+1.2 pts
  • Michael Penix Jr.Rush YdsBeatable
    PrizePicks3.5
    Books4.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 54.7%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • Jordan LoveRush YdsBeatable
    PrizePicks7.5was 8.5
    Books8.5
    Underdog8.5
    Fair side:More 54.6%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • Olamide ZaccheausRec Yds
    PrizePicks9.5was 4.5
    Books10.5
    Underdog10.5
    Fair side:More 54.1%
    vs breakeven−0.1 pts

Sunday early 1:00 PM ET

CIN @ PIT

Sun 1:00 PM ET · 15 lines · 11 with a sportsbook price

  • Joe BurrowPass TDs
    PrizePicks1.5
    Books1.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 52.2%
    vs breakeven−2.0 pts
  • Aaron RodgersPass TDs
    PrizePicks1
    Books1.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 52.1%Tie 37%
    vs breakeven−2.1 pts
  • Aaron RodgersPass YdsStale: the books moved and PrizePicks did not
    PrizePicks217.5
    Books220.5
    Underdog220.5
    Fair side:More 51.7%
    vs breakeven−2.5 pts
  • Chase BrownRec Yds
    PrizePicks21.5
    Books22.5
    Underdog21.5
    Fair side:More 51.0%
    vs breakeven−3.2 pts
  • DK MetcalfRec Yds
    PrizePicks53.5
    Books52.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 50.8%
    vs breakeven−3.4 pts

LAC @ BUF

Sun 1:00 PM ET · 14 lines · 14 with a sportsbook price

  • Tre HarrisReceptions
    PrizePicks3
    Books2.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 52.6%Tie 22%
    vs breakeven−1.6 pts
  • Omarion HamptonRush Yds
    PrizePicks58.5
    Books60.5
    Underdog60.5
    Fair side:More 51.7%
    vs breakeven−2.5 pts
  • Josh AllenRush Yds
    PrizePicks33.5
    Books32.5
    Underdog32.5
    Fair side:Less 51.6%
    vs breakeven−2.6 pts
  • Josh AllenPass Yds
    PrizePicks240.5was 239.5
    Books238.5
    Underdog238.5
    Fair side:Less 51.1%
    vs breakeven−3.2 pts
  • Omarion HamptonRush+Rec Yds
    PrizePicks74.5was 75.5
    Books75.5
    Underdog75.5
    Fair side:More 50.9%
    vs breakeven−3.3 pts

NE @ JAX

Sun 1:00 PM ET · 26 lines · 26 with a sportsbook price · 1 beatable

  • TreVeyon HendersonRec YdsBeatableStale: the books moved and PrizePicks did not
    PrizePicks8.5
    Books9.5
    Underdog9.5
    Fair side:More 54.5%
    vs breakeven+0.3 pts
  • Bhayshul TutenRush+Rec Yds
    PrizePicks65.5was 68.5
    Books67.5
    Underdog68.5
    Fair side:More 53.1%
    vs breakeven−1.1 pts
  • Jakobi MeyersReceptions
    PrizePicks3.5
    Books3.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 53.1%
    vs breakeven−1.1 pts
  • TreVeyon HendersonReceptions
    PrizePicks1.5
    Books1.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 53.1%
    vs breakeven−1.1 pts
  • Trevor LawrencePass TDs
    PrizePicks1.5
    Books1.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 52.7%
    vs breakeven−1.5 pts

NYJ @ DET

Sun 1:00 PM ET · 19 lines · 18 with a sportsbook price · 1 beatable

  • Adonai MitchellReceptionsBeatable
    PrizePicks3.5
    Books3.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 54.6%
    vs breakeven+0.4 pts
  • Breece HallRec Yds
    PrizePicks23.5was 24.5
    Books21.5
    Underdog21.5
    Fair side:Less 54.0%
    vs breakeven−0.2 pts
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownReceptions
    PrizePicks7
    Books7.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 53.4%Tie 15%
    vs breakeven−0.8 pts
  • Breece HallRush Yds
    PrizePicks59.5
    Books57.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 51.8%
    vs breakeven−2.4 pts
  • Jameson WilliamsRec Yds
    PrizePicks53.5
    Books55.5
    Underdog54.5
    Fair side:More 51.6%
    vs breakeven−2.7 pts

Sunday late 4:05 PM ET · 4:25 PM ET

ARI @ SF

Sun 4:05 PM ET · 16 lines · 9 with a sportsbook price

  • Michael WilsonRec Yds
    PrizePicks40.5was 38.5
    Books44.5
    Underdog44.5
    Fair side:More 53.5%
    vs breakeven−0.7 pts
  • Brock PurdyPass Yds
    PrizePicks242.5
    Books237.5
    Underdog242.5
    Fair side:Less 52.6%
    vs breakeven−1.6 pts
  • Jacoby BrissettPass Yds
    PrizePicks222.5
    Books225.5
    Underdog225.5
    Fair side:More 50.8%
    vs breakeven−3.4 pts
  • Marvin Harrison Jr.Rec Yds
    PrizePicks23.5was 30.5
    Books23.5
    Underdog23.5
    Fair side:More 50.6%
    vs breakeven−3.6 pts
  • Jeremiyah LoveRush Yds
    PrizePicks38.5
    Books37.5
    Underdog37.5
    Fair side:Less 50.5%
    vs breakeven−3.7 pts

MIN @ TB

Sun 4:05 PM ET · 15 lines · 14 with a sportsbook price

  • Justin JeffersonReceptions
    PrizePicks5.5
    Books5.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 53.6%
    vs breakeven−0.6 pts
  • Baker MayfieldRush Yds
    PrizePicks17.5
    Books16.5
    Underdog16.5
    Fair side:Less 52.8%
    vs breakeven−1.4 pts
  • Kyler MurrayRush Yds
    PrizePicks20.5was 16.5
    Books20.5
    Underdog20.5
    Fair side:More 52.2%
    vs breakeven−2.0 pts
  • Emeka EgbukaReceptions
    PrizePicks4was 3.5
    Books4.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 52.1%Tie 19%
    vs breakeven−2.1 pts
  • Baker MayfieldPass Yds
    PrizePicks215.5
    Books216.5
    Underdog216.5
    Fair side:More 50.9%
    vs breakeven−3.3 pts

BAL @ DAL

Sun 4:25 PM ET · 17 lines · 15 with a sportsbook price

  • Dak PrescottRush Yds
    PrizePicks12.5
    Books13.5
    Underdog12.5
    Fair side:More 53.2%
    vs breakeven−1.0 pts
  • George PickensReceptions
    PrizePicks5
    Books5.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 52.7%Tie 17%
    vs breakeven−1.5 pts
  • Javonte WilliamsRec Yds
    PrizePicks16.5
    Books17.5
    Underdog17.5
    Fair side:More 52.5%
    vs breakeven−1.7 pts
  • Zay FlowersRec Yds
    PrizePicks75.5was 73.5
    Books71.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 52.4%
    vs breakeven−1.8 pts
  • Javonte WilliamsRush+Rec Yds
    PrizePicks79.5was 76.5
    Books81.5
    Underdog82.5
    Fair side:More 52.3%
    vs breakeven−1.9 pts

LV @ NO

Sun 4:25 PM ET · 10 lines · 2 with a sportsbook price

  • Kirk CousinsPass Yds
    PrizePicks207.5
    Books211.5
    Underdog211.5
    Fair side:More 52.4%
    vs breakeven−1.8 pts
  • Tyler ShoughPass Yds
    PrizePicks248.5was 238.5
    Books252.5
    Underdog252.5
    Fair side:More 52.0%
    vs breakeven−2.2 pts

Sunday night 8:20 PM ET

LAR @ DEN

Sun 8:20 PM ET · 10 lines · 7 with a sportsbook price

  • Matthew StaffordPass TDs
    PrizePicks1.5
    Books1.5
    Underdog1.5
    Fair side:More 51.5%
    vs breakeven−2.8 pts
  • Bo NixPass Yds
    PrizePicks214.5
    Books212.5
    Underdog211.5
    Fair side:Less 51.0%
    vs breakeven−3.3 pts
  • Jaylen WaddleRec Yds
    PrizePicks57.5
    Books57.5
    Underdog57.5
    Fair side:More 50.7%
    vs breakeven−3.5 pts
  • Blake CorumRush Yds
    PrizePicks46.5
    Books46.5
    Underdog46.5
    Fair side:Less 50.0%
    vs breakeven−4.2 pts
  • Bo NixRush Yds
    PrizePicks16.5was 17.5
    Books16.5
    Underdog16.5
    Fair side:More 50.0%
    vs breakeven−4.2 pts

Monday night 8:15 PM ET

PHI @ CHI

Mon 8:15 PM ET · 11 lines · 8 with a sportsbook price

  • Saquon BarkleyRush+Rec YdsStale: the books moved and PrizePicks did not
    PrizePicks92.5
    Books94.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 52.1%
    vs breakeven−2.1 pts
  • DeVonta SmithReceptions
    PrizePicks5.5
    Books5.5
    Underdog5.5
    Fair side:More 51.6%
    vs breakeven−2.6 pts
  • Saquon BarkleyRec Yds
    PrizePicks14.5was 13.5
    Books14.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:Less 51.0%
    vs breakeven−3.2 pts
  • Saquon BarkleyRush YdsStale: the books moved and PrizePicks did not
    PrizePicks75.5
    Books75.5
    Underdog–
    Fair side:More 50.6%
    vs breakeven−3.6 pts
  • Jalen HurtsRush Yds
    PrizePicks24.5
    Books24.5
    Underdog24.5
    Fair side:More 50.2%
    vs breakeven−4.0 pts

Fair chance is the middle value across up to seven sportsbooks. Ties on whole-number lines void the pick, so tie chances are left out. Full method.