Entry Tape

Simulated entries flowing onto the real Week 3 board, the way Game Ops would watch a Sunday. The players and entries are made up; the lines and fair chances they're priced on are real.

Real lines · simulated playersSeeded · a new session replays the same wayHow this is computed →

Real board as of Wed, Sep 23, 11:00 AM ET · 239 lines · simulated entries

496entries this session$11.5Kin entry fees15.8%PrizePicks expects to keep24alerts

Expected hold is priced from fair chances, not from results, so a lucky hour doesn't read as a pricing problem.

Entry tape · newest first

u_d6261Casual
3-pick Power Play
L. Jackson Pass Yds More 236.5D. Boston Rec Yds Less 38.5R. Odunze Rec Yds More 26.5
Entry fee$13
Max payout$78
Worth per $1$0.77
u_63a31Casual
5-pick Flex Play
Z. Flowers Rec Yds More 75.5C. McCaffrey Rush Yds More 54.5K. Boutte Receptions More 2.5B. Strange Rec Yds More 28.5J. Gibbs Rush+Rec Yds More 123.5
Entry fee$5
Max payout$50
Worth per $1$0.71
u_97999Casual
3-pick Power Play
P. Freiermuth Rec Yds More 34.5J. Goff Pass Yds More 255.5A. Rodgers Pass TDs More 1
Entry fee$15
Max payout$90
Worth per $1$0.80
u_aa675Casual
5-pick Power Play
B. Purdy Rush Yds Less 19.5J. Gibbs Receptions Less 4.5T. Harris Receptions More 3T. Kraft Rec Yds More 46.5C. Otton Rec Yds More 27.5
Entry fee$7
Max payout$140
Worth per $1$0.59
u_c7a75Casual
3-pick Power Play
M. Penix Jr. Pass Yds More 204.5C. Lamb Receptions More 7C. Skattebo Rush Yds More 54.5
Entry fee$22
Max payout$132
Worth per $1$0.74
u_c1a3eCasual
4-pick Flex Play
J. Croskey-Merritt Rush Yds Less 40.5T. McLaurin Receptions Less 3.5C. Stroud Rush Yds Less 12.5G. Smith Pass Yds More 221.5
Entry fee$11
Max payout$66
Worth per $1$0.74
u_53be9Casual
3-pick Power Play
C. Rodriguez Jr. Rush Yds More 20.5J. Gibbs Rush+Rec Yds More 123.5D. Achane Rush Yds More 61.5
Entry fee$23
Max payout$138
Worth per $1$0.77
u_4b30eCasual
2-pick Power Play
J. Ferguson Rec Yds Less 27.5D. Boston Rec Yds More 38.5
Entry fee$11
Max payout$33
Worth per $1$0.73
u_1ddb4Casual
5-pick Power Play
J. Burrow Rush Yds More 8.5T. Henderson Rush Yds More 39.5J. Jefferson Receptions More 5.5J. Smith-Njigba Rec Yds Less 89.5K. Boutte Receptions More 2.5
Entry fee$17
Max payout$340
Worth per $1$0.69
u_7cb74Casual
6-pick Flex Play
T. Higgins Rec Yds More 54.5T. Harris Rec Yds More 33.5G. Wilson Rec Yds More 61.5J. Burrow Pass Yds More 252.5B. Strange Rec Yds More 28.5K. Cousins Pass Yds Less 207.5
Entry fee$4
Max payout$100
Worth per $1$0.62
u_c1a3eCasual
2-pick Power Play
P. Mahomes Pass Yds Less 231.5S. LaPorta Receptions More 4.5
Entry fee$8
Max payout$24
Worth per $1$0.75
u_176fcCasual
3-pick Flex Play
C. Kupp Rec Yds More 27.5C. Ward Rush Yds More 10.5D. Vele Rec Yds More 43.5
Entry fee$25
Max payout$75
Worth per $1$0.75
u_dd17dLine shopper
2-pick Power Play
K. Cousins Pass Yds More 207.5J. Love Rush Yds More 7.5
Entry fee$31
Max payout$93
Worth per $1$0.86
u_869abCasual
3-pick Power Play
D. London Rec Yds More 65.5J. Noel Receptions More 2.5A. Brown Receptions More 7
Entry fee$27
Max payout$162
Worth per $1$0.70

Worth per $1 is what each dollar of entry fee is worth at fair chances. Above $1.00, the player has the edge.

Alerts · 24

Account for reviewReview
u_a2ea5: average fair chance 54.0% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_c9b60: average fair chance 53.9% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_ca1bd: average fair chance 53.7% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_84117: average fair chance 53.8% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_30643: average fair chance 53.9% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_e1e61: average fair chance 53.8% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_3b5e8: average fair chance 53.7% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_58436: average fair chance 54.1% over 16 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_cd152: average fair chance 53.9% over 17 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_61e14: average fair chance 54.7% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_faaeb: average fair chance 53.9% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
TreVeyon Henderson Rec Yds 8.5: 100% of entry fees on More, where the tape overall puts 72%. Fair chance More 54.5%. Move toward the books (9.5) or cap More entries.
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u_d3809: average fair chance 53.7% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_39ca3: average fair chance 54.0% over 16 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_2f0bc: average fair chance 54.4% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
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u_33e73: average fair chance 53.9% over 14 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
Skyy Moore Rec Yds 9.5: 100% of entry fees on More, where the tape overall puts 71%. Fair chance More 55.4%. Move toward the books (10.5) or cap More entries.
Account for reviewReview
u_10f9c: average fair chance 53.5% over 16 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
Jordan Love Rush Yds 7.5: 100% of entry fees on More, where the tape overall puts 71%. Fair chance More 54.6%. Move toward the books (8.5) or cap More entries.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
Michael Penix Jr. Rush Yds 3.5: 100% of entry fees on More, where the tape overall puts 70%. Fair chance More 54.7%. Move toward the books (4.5) or cap More entries.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
MarShawn Lloyd Rec Yds 6.5: 100% of entry fees on Less, where the tape overall puts 28%. Fair chance Less 57.8%. Move toward the books (5.5) or cap Less entries.
Account for reviewReview
u_e5f50: average fair chance 54.5% over 12 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.
Money leaning to the right side of a beatable lineAct now
Adonai Mitchell Receptions 3.5: 100% of entry fees on More, where the tape overall puts 74%. Fair chance More 54.6%. Move toward the books (3.5) or cap More entries.
Account for reviewReview
u_db313: average fair chance 53.5% over 13 picks. That's a sharp's pattern. Send to the review queue.

The three rules

A beatable line gets 12+ points more of its entry fees on its fair side than the tape overall (74% on More right now).
An account averages a 53.5%+ fair chance over 12 or more picks.
Six or more same-game stacks on one game within 120 entries.

Where the money is going · the 8 most-picked lines

MarShawn Lloyd Rec Yds 6.5Beatable33 picks · $366
More 2%Less 98%
Justin Jefferson Receptions 5.528 picks · $303
More 99%Less 1%
Bhayshul Tuten Rush+Rec Yds 65.527 picks · $392
More 100%Less 0%
Michael Penix Jr. Rush Yds 3.5Beatable26 picks · $419
More 100%Less 0%
Brock Purdy Pass Yds 242.525 picks · $192
More 23%Less 77%
Michael Wilson Rec Yds 40.524 picks · $231
More 97%Less 3%
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions 723 picks · $180
More 17%Less 83%
Adonai Mitchell Receptions 3.5Beatable23 picks · $256
More 99%Less 1%

The black tick on each bar is the tape-wide share on More (74%). Most money goes on More, so a lopsided line alone means little. The alert fires only when a beatable line gets more of its money on its fair side than normal flow would put there. The same rules are tested on real results on Player Groups.